Hourly Wind Speed Prediction using ARMA Model and Artificial Neural Networks

Abstract

In this paper, a comparison study is presented on artificial intelligence and time series models in 1-hour-ahead wind speed forecasting. Three types of typical neural networks, namely adaptive linear element, multilayer perceptrons, and radial basis function, and ARMA time series model are investigated. The wind speed data used are the hourly mean wind speed data collected at Binalood site in Iran. Simulation results indicate the ability of the proposed methods in 1-hour-ahead wind speed forecasting in Binalood of Iran.